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- Z.B Tokarskaya, G.V. Zhuntova
- Southern Ural Biophysics Institute, Ozyorsk
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- Multivariate analysis is rather difficult to perform for large cohort studies
- since it is practically
impossible to obtain a comprehensive and valid information on prevalence
of some risk factors, particularly, social ones.
- The case-control studies require smaller contingents, which makes
possible to obtain a comprehensive, accurate primary information.
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- Study of lung cancer incidence for the Mayak workers was of primary
interest because the lung is an organ of 239Pu deposition
after inhalation.
- In addition, it is the most common malignant tumor site especially for
males.
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- 239Pu
body burden
- total external g -exposure
- chemical agents
(prior exposure)
- smoking
- chronic lung obstructive disease
- Multivariate unconditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds
ratio (OR).
- Attributable risk (AR) of the
studied factors was also estimated.
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9
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10
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- Z.B. Tokarskaya, N.D.
Okladnikova, Z.D. Belyaeva, E.G. Drozhko
- The influence of radiation and non-radiation factors on the lung cancer
incidence among workers of the Mayak nuclear enterprise (69: 356-366;
1995).
- Multifactorial analysis of lung cancer dose-response relationships for
workers at the Mayak nuclear enterprise (73: 899-905; 1997).
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- This study was continued in the framework of collaboration with LRRI
with active participation of Dr.
B. Scott
- We have used a multivariate analysis approach to investigate the
pair-wise interactions of the three main etiological factors for lung
cancer induction :
- 239Pu
body burden,
- external
g-radiation,
-
smoking
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- Additive effect of factors A and B
- ORAB= ORA + ORB – 1
- Multiplicative effect of factors A and B
- ORAB= ORA * ORB
- Confidence intervals for the expected ORAB under the additive and
multiplicative models were generated via Monte Carlo calculations.
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- Obtained results confirm current concepts that carcinogenesis is a
multiphase, polyetiological process.
- Information on the interaction between radiation and non-radiation
factors is important for a more accurate estimation of radiation risks,
dose dependence and threshold.
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- Z.B. Tokarskaya, B.R. Scott, G.V. Zhuntova, N.D. Okladnikova, Z.D.
Belyaeva, V.F. Khokhryakov, H. Schollnberger, E.K. Vasilenko
- Interaction of radiation and smoking in lung cancer induction among
workers at the Mayak nuclear enterprise,
- Vol. 83, No 6, p. 833-847
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- Liver is one of the main organs of Pu deposition.
- In the framework of joint Project with Dr. B. Scott, we carry out
research on the comparative contribution of radiation and non-radiation
factors in development of malignant tumors in liver and biliary ducts
using the case-control method.
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- The major contribution in morbidity due to lung and liver cancers was made by non-radiation factors,
especially smoking (for lung cancer), alcohol and viral hepatitis (for
liver cancer).
- Influence of radiation factors on development of these tumors was found
only at very high exposure levels multiply exceeding the permissible
levels.
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- Interaction of radiation factors and smoking (additive and
multiplicative effect) was revealed for the lung cancer, which is
important to take into account for a more accurate estimation of the
dose dependence and threshold.
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- adjustment of the dose dependence
and threshold estimates for lung cancer and malignant liver tumors;
- study the interaction between radiation and non-radiation factors for
liver tumors;
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