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Study of Radiation and
Non-radiation Factors Influence 
on Development of
Malignant Tumors
for Nuclear Workers of
the Mayak PA
  • Z.B Tokarskaya, G.V. Zhuntova


  • Southern Ural Biophysics Institute, Ozyorsk


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"Multivariate analysis is rather difficult..."

  • Multivariate analysis is rather difficult to perform for  large cohort studies
  •    since it is practically impossible to obtain a comprehensive and valid information on prevalence of some risk factors, particularly, social ones.


  • The case-control studies require smaller contingents, which makes possible to obtain a comprehensive, accurate primary information.


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Lung Cancer
  • Study of lung cancer incidence for the Mayak workers was of primary interest because the lung is an organ of 239Pu deposition after inhalation.


  • In addition, it is the most common malignant tumor site especially for males.





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We studied the influence of the following factors on lung cancer:
  •    239Pu body burden
  •            total external g -exposure
  •                  chemical agents (prior exposure)
  •                    smoking
  •       chronic lung obstructive disease


  • Multivariate unconditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratio (OR).


  •  Attributable risk (AR) of the studied factors was also estimated.


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Lung Cancer
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Association between different histological types of lung cancer
and risk factors
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Results of these studies were published
in Health Physics:
  •    Z.B. Tokarskaya, N.D. Okladnikova, Z.D. Belyaeva, E.G. Drozhko


  • The influence of radiation and non-radiation factors on the lung cancer incidence among workers of the Mayak nuclear enterprise (69: 356-366; 1995).


  • Multifactorial analysis of lung cancer dose-response relationships for workers at the Mayak nuclear enterprise (73: 899-905; 1997).
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"This study was continued in..."
  • This study was continued in the framework of collaboration with LRRI with active participation of  Dr. B. Scott



  • We have used a multivariate analysis approach to investigate the pair-wise interactions of the three main etiological factors for lung cancer induction :


  •                   239Pu body burden,
  •                             external g-radiation,
  •                                      smoking


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Criteria used for evaluating interactions are as follows:
  • Additive effect of factors A and B
  •               ORAB= ORA + ORB – 1


  • Multiplicative effect of factors A and B
  •               ORAB= ORA * ORB


  • Confidence intervals for the expected ORAB under the additive and multiplicative models were generated via Monte Carlo calculations.
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"Obtained results confirm current concepts..."
  • Obtained results confirm current concepts that carcinogenesis is a multiphase, polyetiological process.


  • Information on the interaction between radiation and non-radiation factors is important for a more accurate estimation of radiation risks, dose dependence and threshold.


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This study was published in
Health Physics:
  • Z.B. Tokarskaya, B.R. Scott, G.V. Zhuntova, N.D. Okladnikova, Z.D. Belyaeva, V.F. Khokhryakov, H. Schollnberger, E.K. Vasilenko


  • Interaction of radiation and smoking in lung cancer induction among workers at the Mayak nuclear enterprise,
  • Vol. 83, No 6, p. 833-847
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Liver and biliary tract cancer
  • Liver is one of the main organs of Pu deposition.


  • In the framework of joint Project with Dr. B. Scott, we carry out research on the comparative contribution of radiation and non-radiation factors in development of malignant tumors in liver and biliary ducts using the case-control method.
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Liver and biliary tract cancer
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Association between liver and biliary tract malignancies and different risk factors
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Radiation and non-radiation risk regions for development of malignancies among Mayak workers
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Distribution of liver tumors for Mayak workers and
232Th-associated liver malignancies
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Histological types of a-induced liver tumors and tumors in unexposed populations
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Comparison of 239Pu and 232Th-induced liver tumors
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Conclusion
  • The major contribution in morbidity due to lung and liver cancers  was made by non-radiation factors, especially smoking (for lung cancer), alcohol and viral hepatitis (for liver cancer).


  • Influence of radiation factors on development of these tumors was found only at very high exposure levels multiply exceeding the permissible levels.


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Conclusion (continue)
  • Interaction of radiation factors and smoking (additive and multiplicative effect) was revealed for the lung cancer, which is important to take into account for a more accurate estimation of the dose dependence and threshold.



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 Continued study will be focused on the following:
  •  adjustment of the dose dependence and threshold estimates for lung cancer and malignant liver tumors;


  • study the interaction between radiation and non-radiation factors for liver tumors;




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